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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+207/-325).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +315 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +207.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Foster Moreau has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.5% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
  • Foster Moreau has accrued significantly more air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
  • Foster Moreau's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 15.4.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Foster Moreau has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, catching a mere 65.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (68.8%) vs. tight ends this year (68.8%).
  • The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

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