Foster Moreau Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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NFL · Player Props

Foster Moreau

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 9, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Foster Moreau Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+207/-325).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +315 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +207.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Foster Moreau has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.5% this year, which places him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.
Foster Moreau has accrued significantly more air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
Foster Moreau's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 15.4.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Foster Moreau has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, catching a mere 65.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (68.8%) vs. tight ends this year (68.8%).
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.