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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to run on 37.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • After comprising 44.0% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Ezekiel Elliott has been called on less the rushing attack this year, now sitting at only 26.8%.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).
  • Ezekiel Elliott's ground effectiveness (3.06 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (24th percentile when it comes to RBs).

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