Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Favors Under

After taking on 50.9% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Ezekiel Elliott has had a smaller role in the run game this year, currently making up only 35.6%.
Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
The Washington defensive ends rank as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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