Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 42.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Patriots.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
This year, the strong Las Vegas Raiders run defense has given up a feeble 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 27th-lowest rate in the league.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
After comprising 50.9% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Ezekiel Elliott has been called on less the ground game this season, currently making up only 32.5%.
Ezekiel Elliott has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
With a dreadful rate of 3.42 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) this year, Ezekiel Elliott rates as one of the bottom running backs in the league at the position.
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst running backs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.17 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 14th percentile.

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