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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Ezekiel Elliott to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack in this week's contest (45.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (32.6% in games he has played).

Ezekiel Elliott has averaged 57.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (127 per game) versus the Cowboys defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.21 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.

Cowboys defensive ends profile as the best DE corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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