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Ezekiel Elliott
NFL · Player Props
Ezekiel Elliott
RB · New England Patriots
Rushing Yards
New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has generated 56.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (79th percentile).
Favors Under
  • The Patriots have been the 5th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 33.5% run rate.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's rushing effectiveness (3.93 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (21st percentile among RBs).
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been among the bottom running backs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.70 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 14th percentile.
  • The New York Jets defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 4.22 yards-per-carry.
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