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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

In this week's game, Ezekiel Elliott is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.2 rush attempts.

While Ezekiel Elliott has earned 42.9% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in New England's run game in this contest at 22.2%.

This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has conceded a puny 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 27th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the New England Patriots as the 10th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Ezekiel Elliott's 34.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a substantial decrease in his rushing prowess over last year's 61.0 mark.

With an awful tally of 3.27 adjusted yards per carry (10th percentile) this year, Ezekiel Elliott places as one of the weakest pure rushers in the league at the position.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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