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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 41.5% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the New England Patriots.

In this week's game, Ezekiel Elliott is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.7 rush attempts.

The projections expect Ezekiel Elliott to be a more integral piece of his team's ground game in this game (63.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (42.0% in games he has played).

This year, the porous Denver Broncos run defense has conceded a monstrous 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the most in the NFL.

The Broncos defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Ezekiel Elliott's 35.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows a meaningful reduction in his rushing proficiency over last year's 61.0 rate.

Ezekiel Elliott's running effectiveness (3.40 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (10th percentile among running backs).

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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