Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the league (41.2% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
The projections expect Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 18.6 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The predictive model expects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack in this game (18.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Ezekiel Elliott's 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a meaningful drop-off in his running proficiency over last season's 61.0 figure.
With a terrible record of 3.63 adjusted yards per carry (20th percentile) this year, Ezekiel Elliott rates as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at the position.
With an awful tally of 2.54 yards after contact (17th percentile) this year, Ezekiel Elliott places among the least powerful running backs in the league.
The Steelers defensive tackles project as the 10th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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