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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to run on 41.8% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers run defense has conceded a meager 4.59 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 25th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Chargers defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
  • After taking on 50.9% of his team's run game usage last season, Ezekiel Elliott has played a smaller part in the run game this season, now taking on only 34.7%.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a meaningful drop-off in his running ability over last year's 61.0 mark.

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