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Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-105/-125).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to total 16.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 61.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.Ezekiel Elliott has averaged 59.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (77th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.Ezekiel Elliott's running effectiveness (3.61 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (20th percentile among running backs).Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst running backs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 2.62 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
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