Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 14.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Ezekiel Elliott has been given 58.8% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
Ezekiel Elliott has averaged 54.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (78th percentile).

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Ezekiel Elliott's rushing efficiency (3.64 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (24th percentile among running backs).
The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 3.98 yards-per-carry.

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