Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-109/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 16.0 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Ezekiel Elliott's ground efficiency (3.96 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (22nd percentile among running backs).
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the bottom running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.74 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 23rd percentile.

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