Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 66.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 14.3 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack this week (42.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.5% in games he has played).

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