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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys have been the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.6% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to notch 12.5 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has generated 63.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (83rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (41.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (57.9% in games he has played).
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.74 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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