Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys rank as the 7th-most run-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 42.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
Ezekiel Elliott has picked up 64.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (82nd percentile).
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (34.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.5% in games he has played).
The Minnesota Vikings defense owns the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.42 yards-per-carry.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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