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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys have been the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 12.9 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has picked up 63.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (84th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (42.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.5% in games he has played).
  • Ezekiel Elliott's running efficiency (4.06 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (22nd percentile among RBs).

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