Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 3:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 12.9 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Ezekiel Elliott has picked up 63.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (84th percentile).

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (42.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.5% in games he has played).
Ezekiel Elliott's running efficiency (4.06 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (22nd percentile among RBs).

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