Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much bigger part of his team's run game near the goal line this week (60.8% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (45.5% in games he has played).
Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most touchdowns in the league (1.00 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
Favors Under
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.