Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:05 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-219).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -209 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -219.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 50.0% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game near the goal line this week (58.3% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.5% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-least TDs in the league (0.75 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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