Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 27, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+158/-222).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.7% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
Ezekiel Elliott has been given 53.7% of his offense's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the best in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

Opposing squads have run for the 10th-least TDs in football (0.79 per game) against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season.

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