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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Ezekiel Elliott to earn 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

While Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 11.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New England's offense this week at 17.0%.

Ezekiel Elliott's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a meaningful boost in his receiving ability over last year's 1.1 mark.

Ezekiel Elliott's 84.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates an impressive improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 72.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 126.6 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Patriots have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 56.2 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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