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Ezekiel Elliott
NFL · Player Props
Ezekiel Elliott
RB · New England Patriots
Receptions
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 17, 2023 5:46 PM UTC
NFL Props Ezekiel Elliott Receptions

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-310/+230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -310.

Favors Over
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • At only 26.68 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense rates as the 5th-quickest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Ezekiel Elliott is predicted by the model to find himself in the 96th percentile among RBs with 5.7 targets.
  • While Ezekiel Elliott has received 8.7% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New England's pass game in this contest at 17.0%.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's receiving performance has improved this year, notching 2.4 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.1 last year.
Favors Under
  • The Patriots have been the 6th-least pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 33.2 per game) this year.
  • The Patriots O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
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