The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.Ezekiel Elliott has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (29.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.1%).The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.Ezekiel Elliott's 3.0 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 4.0 mark.
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