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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

In this week's contest, Ezekiel Elliott is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.5 targets.

While Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 11.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New England's pass game in this contest at 22.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ezekiel Elliott has compiled a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among running backs.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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