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Ezekiel Elliott
NFL · Player Props
Ezekiel Elliott
RB · New England Patriots
Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 8, 2023 1:16 AM EST
NFL Props Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
  • In this week's game, Ezekiel Elliott is forecasted by the model to place in the 94th percentile among running backs with 5.0 targets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Ezekiel Elliott to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game in this week's game (15.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.2% in games he has played).
  • Ezekiel Elliott's 13.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a material improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 6.0 figure.
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • This year, the fierce Steelers defense has conceded a paltry 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
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