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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has totaled a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 7th percentile among RBs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's 7.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 16.1.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has accumulated many fewer receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
  • Ezekiel Elliott's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 75.2% to 71.4%.

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