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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are a 5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.6% pass rate.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has totaled a paltry -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 8th percentile among RBs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's 8.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 16.1.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has posted significantly fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
  • Ezekiel Elliott's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.1% to 71.4%.

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