Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
Ezekiel Elliott has run a route on 57.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 57.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in just 73.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile.
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among RBs, averaging just 4.75 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 16th percentile.
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the bottom RBs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 6.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 25th percentile.