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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has gone out for fewer passes this year (44.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (58.6%).
  • Ezekiel Elliott has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a measly 73.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

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