Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Ezekiel Elliott has gone out for fewer passes this year (44.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (58.6%).
Ezekiel Elliott has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (18.0).
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a measly 73.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

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