Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in football.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has given their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Ezekiel Elliott has been used less as a potential target this season (44.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (58.6%).
Ezekiel Elliott has put up a lot fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
Ezekiel Elliott has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in just 73.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

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