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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 72.2% to 84.6%.
  • Ezekiel Elliott's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, notching 7.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 5.90 mark last year.
  • The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (45.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (58.6%).
  • Ezekiel Elliott has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among RBs.

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