Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Ezekiel Elliott's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 72.2% to 84.6%.
Ezekiel Elliott's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, notching 7.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 5.90 mark last year.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
Ezekiel Elliott has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (45.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (58.6%).
Ezekiel Elliott has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among RBs.

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