My Account Log Out

reorder

Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Ezekiel Elliott's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, accumulating 9.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 6.02 rate last season.

The New York Giants pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus RBs this year, yielding 6.93 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.

The New York Giants pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 9.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.

Ezekiel Elliott has been used less as a potential target this year (45.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (59.0%).

Ezekiel Elliott has compiled a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 24th percentile among running backs.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™