Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Ezekiel Elliott's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, accumulating 9.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 6.02 rate last season.
The New York Giants pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus RBs this year, yielding 6.93 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.
The New York Giants pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 9.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
Ezekiel Elliott has been used less as a potential target this year (45.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (59.0%).
Ezekiel Elliott has compiled a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 24th percentile among running backs.

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