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Ezekiel Elliott
NFL · Player Props
Ezekiel Elliott
RB · New England Patriots
Carries
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 6:41 PM UTC
NFL Props Ezekiel Elliott Carries

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.
Favors Under
  • The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (35.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.9%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.
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