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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Ezekiel Elliott has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (35.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.9%).

As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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