Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 42.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Patriots.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
After comprising 50.9% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Ezekiel Elliott has been called on less the ground game this season, currently making up only 32.5%.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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