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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run on 44.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 134.8 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 64.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After comprising 50.9% of his offense's carries last season, Ezekiel Elliott has been less involved in the running game this season, now sitting at just 31.4%.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the best LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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