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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (33.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.0% in games he has played).

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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