Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

My Account Log Out

reorder

Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.
The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (33.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.0% in games he has played).

More Ezekiel Elliott Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow