Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the league (41.2% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
The projections expect Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 18.6 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The predictive model expects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack in this game (18.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The Steelers defensive tackles project as the 10th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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