Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to total 16.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 61.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cowboys are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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