Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+133/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to garner 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Ezekiel Elliott has earned 56.3% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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