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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+133/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -184.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to garner 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has earned 56.3% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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