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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys rank as the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 43.5% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Dallas Cowboys have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (41.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.1% in games he has played).

The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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