Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to garner 12.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Ezekiel Elliott has been given 59.0% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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