My Account Log Out
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accumulate 14.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game this week (44.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.2% in games he has played).
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™