Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accumulate 14.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game this week (44.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.2% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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