Evan Hull Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Evan Hull

NFL · Player Props

Evan Hull

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Hull Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.48 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has produced the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.29 yards-per-carry.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

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