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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars will be rolling with backup quarterback Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

In this week's game, Evan Engram is anticipated by the predictive model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.1 targets.

Evan Engram has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 25.8% this year, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

The Jacksonville O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Jaguars as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projection model to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a measly 52.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.6 per game) this year.

Evan Engram's receiving talent has worsened this season, compiling a measly 5.4 adjusted catches compared to 6.7 last season.

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