Evan Engram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 61.7% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
With a high 84.0% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, Evan Engram rates among the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.
In this contest, Evan Engram is forecasted by the model to finish in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.7 targets.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
The Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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