Evan Engram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
Evan Engram has run a route on 83.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
The predictive model expects Evan Engram to garner 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Jaguars O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Evan Engram has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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