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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars offense as the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
  • Evan Engram has run a route on 83.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
  • The predictive model expects Evan Engram to garner 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • The Jaguars O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Evan Engram has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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