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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Evan Engram to accrue 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Evan Engram has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this year (23.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.6%).

Evan Engram's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, compiling 6.5 adjusted catches vs a measly 4.3 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projection model to run 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

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