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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.3% pass rate.
  • The model projects the Jaguars to be the 8th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Evan Engram is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 8.6 targets.
  • Evan Engram's 42.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 36.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the tough Buccaneers defense has conceded a paltry 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Tampa Bay's unit has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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