Evan Engram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+132/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Evan Engram to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Evan Engram's 42.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 36.6.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.2 per game) this year.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Cleveland's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

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