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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are massive underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

In this week's game, Evan Engram is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 8.3 targets.

Evan Engram has put up a monstrous 35.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have called the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 54.0 plays per game.

Evan Engram's 75.6% Route Participation% this year represents a substantial regression in his passing offense usage over last year's 87.4% rate.

Evan Engram has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).

Evan Engram rates as one of the worst tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.

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